Saturday, March 29, 2014

Guns in America




There are a lot of guns in America today. Just how many you ask? Well, too many. In fact, as of 2007, the United States lead the world with a per capita basis of 89 guns for every 100 citizens, a commanding lead over subsequent countries of Serbia with 58.2, Yemen with 54.8, Switzerland with  45.7, and Finland at 45.3. In fact, U.S. citizens own 270 million of the world's 875 million known firearms, according to the 2007 Small Arms Survey by the Geneva-based Graduate Institute of International Studies. About 4.5 million of the 8 million new guns manufactured worldwide each year are purchased in the United States, it said. "There is roughly one firearm for every seven people worldwide. Without the United States, though, this drops to about one firearm per 10 people," it said. Germany, France, Pakistan, Mexico, Brazil and Russia were next in the ranking of country's overall civilian gun arsenals. Today, gun violence seems to be omnipresent in America as never before and people are demanding action from our government to quell the threat. Something must be done to protect our children. But what is the answer? Let’s look at some facts.

There were 8,583 homicides by firearms in 2011, out of 12,664 homicides total, according to the FBI. This means that more than two-thirds of homicides involve a firearm. 6,220 of those homicides by firearm (72%) are known to have involved a handgun. It's worth noting that violent crime rates of all types have been steadily decreasing since the early 1990s. No one is quite sure what is causing this decrease, though there are many theories, ranging from tighter gun control laws to more innovative policing and changes in the drug market. Whatever the cause of this decline, America still has a homicide rate of 4.7 murders per 100,000 people, which is one of the highest of all developed countries. Gun violence also affects more than its victims. In areas where it is prevalent, just the threat of violence makes neighborhoods poorer. It's very difficult to quantify the total harm caused by gun violence, but by asking many people how much they would pay to avoid this threat -- a technique called contingent valuation -- researchers have estimated a cost to American society of $100 billion dollars. The firearms debate usually revolves around "gun control", that is, laws that would make guns harder to buy, carry, or own. But this is not the only way of reducing gun violence. It is possible to address gun use instead of availability. For example, Project Exile moved all gun possession offenses in Richmond, Virginia, to federal courts instead of state courts, where minimum sentences are longer. Policies like these, which concern gun use, are sometimes said to operate on gun "demand," as opposed to gun control laws, which affect "supply." Similarly, while the idea of new laws gets most of the attention, some projects have focused on enforcing existing laws more effectively, or changing policing strategies the way Boston's Operation Ceasefire did in the 1990s. In fact, launching community-based programs has proven to be one of the most effective strategies for reducing gun violence. There have also been programs based on other principles, such as public safety education and gun buy-back campaigns. The White House proposals address both gun access and gun use, and include both new laws and enhanced enforcement of existing laws. Although countries that offer easier access to guns also have more gun violence, at least among developed nations, this doesn't necessarily mean that more guns cause more deaths. People may own more guns in dangerous places because they want to protect themselves. It's also possible that gun ownership is a deterrent to crime, because criminals must consider the possibility that their intended victim is armed. Economist John Lott did extensive work on this question in the late 1990s, culminating in his 1998 book More Guns, Less Crime. He studied the effect of right-to-carry laws by examining violent crime rates before and after they were implemented in various states, up until 1992, and concluded that such laws decreased homicides by an average of 8%. Lott's data and methods have been extensively reviewed since then. A massive 2004 report by a 16-member panel of the National Research Council found that there was not enough evidence to say either way whether right-to-carry laws affected violence. In 2010, different researchers re-examined Lott's work, the NRC report, and additional data up through 2006, and reaffirmed that there is no evidence that right-to-carry laws reduce crime. Meanwhile, other studies have suggested that reduced access to guns would result in less crime. These studies compared homicide rates with gun availability in various states and cities. The most comprehensive estimate is that a 10% reduction in U.S. households with guns would result in a 3% reduction in homicides. Internationally, the effect of reductions in gun ownership might be much larger. This might have to do with the large number of guns already available in the U.S.  Any reduction in gun violence hinges on whether gun control laws would actually make it prohibitively difficult to get a gun. 
I live in Massachusetts and I think this state is doing the right thing in terms of a common sense approach to the protection of rights and most importantly responsible gun laws and licensing. I would like to see all states adopt this approach to gun laws.  In fact in 1998, Massachusetts passed what was hailed as the toughest gun-control legislation in the country. Among other stringencies, it banned semiautomatic “assault” weapons, imposed strict new licensing rules, prohibited anyone convicted of a violent crime or drug trafficking from ever carrying or owning a gun, and enacted severe penalties for storing guns unlocked. The 1998 legislation did cut down, quite sharply, on the legal use of guns in Massachusetts. Within four years, the number of active gun licenses in the state had plummeted. “There were nearly 1.5 million active gun licenses in Massachusetts in 1998,” the AP reported. “In June 2002, that number was down to just 200,000.”  But the law that was so tough on law-abiding gun owners had quite a different impact on criminals. Since 1998, gun crime in Massachusetts has gotten worse, not better. In 2011, Massachusetts recorded 122 murders committed with firearms, a striking increase from the 65 in 1998. Other crimes rose too. Between 1998 and 2011, robbery with firearms climbed 20.7 percent. Aggravated assaults jumped 26.7 percent. Don’t hold your breath waiting for gun-control activists to admit they were wrong. The treatment they prescribed may have yielded the opposite of the results they promised, but they’re quite sure the prescription wasn’t to blame. Crime didn’t rise in Massachusetts because the state made it harder for honest citizens to lawfully carry a gun; it rose because other states didn’t do the same. Guns don’t have borders. It’s time to button down the hatches on gun laws. Until we do illegal guns will flow, like drugs, through the path of least resistance and into states regardless of their laws.  Let’s all get on the same page here.









1 comment:

  1. Stephen,

    This is a well researched post - full of facts, statistics, and vital information. I admire how much research you did, and your tone is professional.

    But what is your thesis? What is the focus of this piece?

    As I read, the first paragraph is a solid introduction. Is your thesis: There are too many guns in the US?"

    If so, all the data should point back to this.

    In your second paragraph, you check statistics regarding the relation between gun ownership and local crime. This is great, but how does it relate to your thesis?

    In the final paragraph, you give a great example in the state of Massachusetts, but does this information tie into your thesis?

    All information should go back to that.

    Be sure, too, to have your opposing viewpoint paragraph. I see the debate in the second paragraph, but who (which party, affiliation, group, etc) claims that gun laws are too restrictive? Who leads the gun lobby? You site an author, which is great, but who else believes that more guns equals more peace?

    Try to thread all the text around your central thesis, so that your post has a clear mission: to convince your readers of 1 thing.


    GR: 87

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